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Reverse line movement sports betting blackhawks playoff odds

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Line Movement & Reverse Line Movement


How to Bet On Sports Reverse Line Movement. We recently introduced a new line movement prediction tool which is helpful in forecasting reverse line movement! Learn more on the Sports Insights Line Predictor page! Reverse line movement refers to betting line movement that contradicts the public betting percentages.

For example, consider Indianapolis Colts vs. Oakland Raiders + Sports Insights’ NFL Betting Trends data is reporting that 80 of the spread bets being placed are on Indianapolis, but the line moves against the Colts to Team. Reverse line movement is a sports betting strategy that is used by a lot of sports bettors, but people who are new to placing bets don’t really understand how it works, so we are going to use this opportunity to walk you through it.

The first thing that you have to understand, is how regular betting lines work. Whenever you are placing a bet, there is always a favorite and an underdog. The favorite is indicated by the minus sign -, while the underdog is indicated by the plus sign +. These lines usually tend to shift by the percentage of people betting on both teams. Understanding Reverse Line Movement for Vegas Sports Betting. By Jimmy Boyd in Informational. What does reverse line movement mean, and is it a profitable strategy to wager on games?

This is a popular question that we get from inexperienced bettors. This article will try to break down the basics of what it is, and if it’s a tool that can help you add profits to your bankroll.

It’s well known that Vegas and the online sportsbooks want to have as close to even money being wagered on both sides of any action as possible. They do their best to set an opening line that they feel will attract bettors to both sides. If they are getting uneven action on a game, they will move the line to try an get more bets money on the other side. Let’s say a team opens as a 6-point favorite. Best Answer Reverse line movement is when the line moves opposite of the betting action. If most of the public wagers are on the favorite to cover, then usually if the line is to move at all, it will move up.

But sometimes you'll see it move down. Or if the majority of betting is on the underdog, yet the line moves up, that's also reverse line movement. But it often means smart money is being wagered in the direction of the reverse movement. For instance if 80 of the action is on the favorite and the line moves down, it could mean that there is smart money on the underdog.

I believe a recent example was the Jets-Colts playoff game. All week long the Colts were favored by 3 points. The action was about on the Colts to cover. chris-hemsworth.us's Andrew Barron andrewmbarron and Ben Rasa jazzrazDFS talk about reverse line movement in sports betting. Reverse line movement takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction.

For example, in the two cases above, at least 75 percent of all bets were placed on the Chargers and Wisconsin respectively. Yet, the Chargers line dropped from an opener of -7 to a closing line of -5, while Wisconsin fell from -6 to You all now know what transpired on the field on each occasion. So what causes reverse line movement when the aim of most bookmakers is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible?

The answer to this is quite simple.

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It is important to know what reverse line movement means when you are betting on sports. There are several services out there that show you what percentage of bets are on which sides of games at different sports books. By studying these percentages, you can get a feel for which way the line is likely to move.

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Obviously, if 80 of the bets are on one side, then that side is likely to move.

Let’s say that 80 of the bets are on the Giants -3 over the Cowboys. Most likely, that line is not going to stay at -3 for long. The Giants will move to or -4 because most of the bets are coming in on t. Helps you with sports betting by watching for reverse line movement odds changing opposite to how one would expect them to change.

So the controller will accept the action, run the first line, then present you with a IRB prompt in the server window. Here you can do things like chris-hemsworth.ust "[Post0x14a6be8. Reverse line movement RLM refers to odds movement that contradicts betting percentages in the market this is when the majority of bets are placed on one side yet the line moves in the opposite direction.

This is why it is important to realise that betting percentages are not related to the total amount of money wagered on a match, but rather the number of bets taken on each side. The challenge for anyone looking to benefit from using reverse line movement as part of a betting strategy is being able to determine the amount of money staked on each side of the market and which side the more k.

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So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of sports betting picks are on one team, yet the sports betting line moves in the opposite direction.

To illustrate, let us say that the San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolphins, and over 70 percent of the bets placed on the game are on San Diego. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers This would make Miami +6 the RLM play. So what causes RLM when the aim of most bookmakers is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible?. A reverse line movement occurs when Vegas moves the line towards Team B to even out the money, even though the majority of bets are on Team A.

For DFS purposes, the assumption is that those bettors are not Barkley, Jordan and Pete chris-hemsworth.us professional gamblers who overwhelmingly disagree with public opinion and do not think that team A will cover 7 points. I agree that a reverse line movement in itself should not be utilized as a red flag within DFS or sports betting on the surface.

However, it should be used as a cue to dig deeper into a particular match-up to possibly pivot off or toward it if the movement is truly attributed to a game-related event versus a last minute bonsai by sharps andor books. The sports book will offer a "line" for the game which suggests a minimum margin of victory for the favorite the team more people believe will win. This minimum margin of victory for the favorite is called the spread. If the favorite wins by more than the minimum margin of victory, they are said to have "covered the spread" and those who bet on them will win money.

Reverse wagers are another form of the exotic bets that can be found at sportsbooks everywhere. Reverse bets are one of the more basic kind of exotic bets. A reverse bet is where you are able to put two or more if bets together. In this, your action is covered both ways, kind of like boxing an exacta. In these sports, the spread is always for the money-line favorite and + for the money-line underdog it never changes to a different value.

It is very important for the "juice" to be factored when determining SPREAD VALUE. The "juice" reflects how often the sportsbook expects either team to win, with a certain percentage added for the sportsbook's profit.

We report the opening and current betting lines from the home team's perspective. Line movement occurs when more money is being wagered on one side of the line. We indicate games with Reverse Line Movement on our pick sheet and in our game forecasts, as these are frequently games meriting additional analysis.

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Is there evidence of pregame betting line movements having an effect on which team is going to win the game in the NBA? I own a dataset which contains information about all games from the last 14 NBA seasons. I analyzed all games for which data was available on the opening closing betting lines.

A fictitious bet was placed on the team in favor of which the line moved during the day. For example, assume the opening line has Team A favored to win the game by points over Team B.

If the closing line went higher, for instance, I would make a virtual bet on Team A at On the oth. In reverse line movement high-percentage of bets is placed on one team while the line moves in another way.

Almost every time this happens due to the move by sharp bettors betting against the public. The public percentage may be higher for one team but the betting amount on the other team is much higher than the public.

For every game, the tool shows the bets made by public and shows the distribution of bets on both sides of the game. Zcode line reversal provides indicators for most of the games, but it works best for sports like NHL hockey and MLB baseball, NFL American football. It is the only tool of its kind which will help you to identify the sharp money moves. This will help you bet with the Vegas and highly increase the chance of winning. Reverse-line movement Reverse line movement or RLM occurs when a sportsbook receives a large volume or percentage of bets on one side, yet the line moves in the opposite direction in response to some big bets or higher quality bets from sharper bettors on the other side.

For example, the betting public, comprised of your more casual bettors, produces a large quantity of small bets, on the Steelers -3 over the Ravens. Meanwhile, the same book receives a smaller number of very large bets on the Ravens to cover, and the line. We investigate whether betting based on reverse line movement in an effort to follow the actions of sharps, or professional bettors, is profitable over the time period.

We find that, in general, following reverse line movement is not a profitable strategy with regard to the totals markets in college football. Do you want to read the rest of this article?.

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Reverse line movement is when the line moves in contradiction to the public betting percentage.

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That is, even though most people are betting on one side, the line moves to make that side more attractive. This tends to indicate sharp money. There are lots of different sports betting strategies that let you leverage your knowledge of line movement.

One of the simplest ways is just knowing when to wait for the line to change in your favor. Another strategy for using line movement is to observe how the odds change to give you an idea of where the best value is. Reverse line movement is not hard to understand concept in sports betting strategy. Thou, it has been around you will find a good number of seasoned bettors who still get it wrong or completely disregard it in their betting arsenal.

If you are a novice who is starting your career in sports betting we have selected the most common asked questions about the reverse line movement and provided exhausting answers. Which Side Do You Bet On When Wagering On Reverse Line Movement? You would bet on the non-public side or the side that is moving against the public. If the public is heavily on one side o. How 'reverse line movement' might influence in your betting decisions.

Examples of RLM in play in the NFL point spread market. How 'reverse line movement' might influence in your betting decisions. Quick 'points' review of Canadian sportsbook - Sports Interaction. Markets covered, banking, service, promotions, lines and summary. Quick 'points' review of Canadian sportsbook - Sports Interaction. Markets covered, banking, service, promotions, lines and summary.

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Those who bet regularly generally know that money moves the line if a lot of action comes in for a team, then the sportsbook adjusts the line odds or point spread accordingly. So for example, let’s say the New England Patriots are at -6 and the Philadelphia Eagles +6, if a lot of money came in for the Patriots, the sportsbook may decide to move the point spread half a point to, thereby making the Patriots a less appealing proposition and in turn attract some action on the Philadelphia Eagles. Betting percentages for events are now widely available, and a few sports tipping services have started up offering alerts as to when Reverse Line Movement might be in play.

So, as a bettor, should you follow RLM. In the sports betting world, the term smart money or sharp money is used to refer to large bets placed by either professional bettors or betting syndicates. This small segment of the betting population will often bet big on games they have determined the odds are in their favor. More often than not, if you’re on the side with the sharps then you’re on the right side and will win more often than not. Read below for some tips to help you identify the smart money.

Reverse line movement means if you see a line move one way but the public is on the opposite side, it means bettors in the minority are making large wagers and forcing sportsbooks to adjust. For example, let’s say that UNC opens as a point favorite against Louisville and that the Tar Heels are receiving 80 of spread bets. Reverse Line Movement If you’ve heard the term but don’t know what it’s referencing, then in a few hundred words you will.

Remember, there are no stupid questions, only stupid answers. These days there are any number of sites that publish the ticket count for games, which is exactly what it says, ticket count. Specifically, the number of bets on the game and betting consensus. Since there are multiple sites with bet percentages, you’ll often see different numbers on the same game.

You might ask how is that possible, and I’ll give you the answer. Most sites have affiliations with a specific set of sportsbooks, so they’ll get different numbers.

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Mp3 Sports Betting Contrarian Bets Steam Moves Reverse Line Movements Explained. Spread betting is any of various types of wagering on the outcome of an event where the pay-off is based on the accuracy of the wager, rather than a simple "win or lose" outcome, such as fixed-odds or money-line betting or parimutuel betting. A spread is a range of outcomes and the bet is whether the outcome will be above or below the spread.

Spread betting has been a major growth market in the UK in recent years, with the number of gamblers heading towards one million. We can do this by identifying reverse line movement, which is when the line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages.

For example, the Packers are favored by 7 points over the Lions. Green Bay is receiving 75 of betting tickets but the line moves to Packers This is an indication that smart money is on Detroit.

To build this system we start by using the Spread Change Open to Close filter and look for games where there was at least a one point line movement. Preseason games with reverse line movement have gone ATS, + units since The against-the-spread winning percentage increases the less public support a team gets but there are fewer games that meet the criteria. Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money.

This is where an important word of caution is in order though. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point or 10 cents in MLB and NHL off of the opening line. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it.

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Reverse line movement is a trendy term in sport betting in which advanced bettors track line movement and try to catch an anomaly where a sportsbook is shifting the line in the opposite direction of that which makes sense. Bettors will study the lines and the way they move around to discover these infrequent events, and then bet them to attempt to make the most.

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But why do bettors scrutinize lines closely, and what is the real value of finding situations where the line movements contradict what logic would dictate?

Let’s take a deep dive into what inverse line movem. Reverse Line Movement Explanation. One strategy used is determining which side the professional gamblers are on is called reverse line movement. Sports books move their betting lines according to which side has more action at a certain time.

The main objective of the sports book is to level out all action so that each side is equal and then they are able to cash on the vig juice and have as little action as possible. If the betting public has chosen one team a higher percentage of the time but the sports book has moved the line in the opposite direction then savvy bettors can easily spot a reverse line movement. This works for any sport and includes all moneyline, spread and overunder lines.

Analyzing the way sports betting odds move is an important aspect to monitor at all times.

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Reverse-Line Movement Betting line movement that contradicts the public betting percentages. For example if Team A is receiving 80 of the public bets as a 7-point favorite yet the line drops to, this is an example of reverse line movement. This indicates that sharp money is taking Team B.

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Return on Investment ROI A performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment.

Units We consistently report sports betting winslosses according to units won or lost. We recommend betting one unit per game, which refers to a standard monetary measurement typically between of your bankroll. For example if your bankroll is 1, one unit is between 20 and. My main site chris-hemsworth.us - Sports Betting Robot automated winning picks, My Social Media, Sports Betting Educational Videos Articles, an.

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Reverse line movement can be a great indication of which way to bet on a game.

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However, to really take advantage of reverse line movement, you do need to pay attention. If the line on a game moves toward the public, and not against in a direction that looks to even out the money, go against the public.

The logic behind this is that sportsbooks are looking to capitalize on a game they feel very strongly about. Some sports betting experts turn up their noses at teasers, but I think they can still be a very profitable component of your betting strategy. Teasers allow you to adjust the point spreads on games, with the payouts being lowered accordingly.

The key is to be sure you don’t move the line so much that you’re making a low-value play. The term reverse line movement you read about all the time means a line's moving opposite of where the majority of tickets are being printed. chris-hemsworth.us Included in the live odds feed is information on of bets being placed on either side, line movement, key injuries, weather and more. chris-hemsworth.us In a new feature, we wanted to highlight players that were offering value based on line movement across the sports betting marketplace but before that, it's worth touching on the recent news out of Las SPORTS.

chris-hemsworth.us Reverse line movement is when the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It's and people still think fading the public and analyzing reverse line movement are how you make money betting on sports.

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If 70 of the bets are coming in on the Yankees and the line drops to, that's what known as a reverse line movement. It's essentially informing you that while there's fewer bets being made on the Blue Jays, the amount of those bets is exceeding that of the bets on the Yankees.

More times than not, those big wagers are a result of sharp bettors, who have a history of long-term success or they wouldn't be doing it for a living. The important thing to keep in mind with baseball, is that it's primarily a money line sport. If a team is listed as a big favorite.

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Multi-Purpose Sports Betting Tracker And Manager. We track the movement for you and record it. Look for sneaky reverse line movement situations! 6 Link MULTIPLE Betting Accounts to 1 central location for easy account sharing functionality.

Wager Watcher automatically updates the total amount in your account when a wager is graded.

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In horse racing, to ask for a second exacta wager which specifies two horses in reverse order of the first exacta wager. A series of three or more teams into 2-team wagers. When a betting line starts to move quite rapidly most "steam games" do not necessarily reflect the "right side", but are games that the mass of bettors somehow decide to key on.

A sports bet in which the bettor guesses that the total points scored by two teams will be under a certain figure. The team perceived to be most likely to lose.

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One of the most peculiar things in sports betting is the reverse line movement. That is, when the majority of the public is betting on one side of a point spread, and, instead of moving up, the spread moves down. For example, if the Southern California Trojans were 7 point favorites and 75 of the public was betting on USC, then instead of moving to 8 or 9 points, the line moves to 6 or even 5 points. One would think that the more money coming in on one side, the higher the spread would move.

Yet every week, there are several games in which th.

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Reverse line movements, I used a sample of NFL betting data from chris-hemsworth.us The data set spans 2, games from and includes information such as opening lines, closing lines, and recent performance of both teams in every matchup. These data points are not necessarily uncommon, but the unique aspect of this data set is that it also includes the public betting percentages for each matchup, therefore making it possible to identify reverse line movements.

Sports Insights compiled the information from four highly reputable online sports books Pinnacle, 5Dimes, BetUS, and GT Bets. To analyze whether Followers can profit from identifying.

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The eventual size of the legalized sports betting industry in the United States is anyone’s guess. Almost 5 billion was bet on sports in Nevada last year, but that figure is dwarfed by the amount bet on the illegal betting market, which is estimated to be anywhere from tens to hundreds of billions of dollars.

In Britain, home to just 65 million people and a far less-diverse sports market, bettors wagered nearly 20 billion for the fiscal year ending in March, the last year for which figures are available, according to a report from that country’s Gambling Commision.

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Reverse line movement occurs when the public is heavily invested in side or total, but the sharp bettors have gone the opposite direction. Instead of the line moving in response to the massive public betting action or simply not moving at all it moves in favour of the sharp action.

Why Does The Public Get It Wrong? Picture a recreational punter who makes up the majority of the punting world who likes football.

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Then, reverse line movement happened. Mayhem, Ole Miss reign supreme as Rebels pull wild upset of Alabama. This is when a line moves in the opposite direction of the money coming in. For example, if a majority of money comes in on Ole Miss, the line will likely move up to, say, for Ole Miss, in an effort by houses to even out the amount of money on each side and incentivize bets on the Commodores. Instead, so far this week, bets have come in 60 in favor of Ole Miss, and the line has moved down between two and three points at most shops.

Breaking down odds and the best bets of Week 2 in college football, including Michigan State-Oregon, LSU-Mississippi State, Oklahoma-Tennessee and more.

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This video explains the sports betting term 'Reverse Live Movement'. For more sports betting tips and strategies visit chris-hemsworth.us Also make sure you Line Shading in Sports Betting - Why Sportsbooks Line Shade.

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Reverse Line Movement takes place when a large majority of sports betting picks are on one team, yet the sports betting line moves in the opposite direction. From Sportsbook, Casino Betting, Racebook Gambling, WagerWeb offers you the best online gambling options, check it now! The first thing that you have to understand, is how regular betting lines work.

Whenever you are placing a bet, there is always a favorite and an underdog. The favorite is indicated by the minus sign -, while the underdog is indicated by the plus sign +.

These lines usually tend to shift by the percentage of people b.

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Start studying Sports Betting. Learn vocabulary, terms and more with flashcards, games and other study tools. Someone who usually only plays the favored teams, rarely betting on the underdogs. Also known as a "chalkeater." Circled Game.

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Reverse line movement RLM refers to odds movement that contradicts betting percentages in the market - this is when the majority of bets are placed on one side yet the line moves in the opposite direction. This is why it is important to realise that betting percentages are not related to the total amount of money wagered on a match, but rather the number of bets taken on each side.

In summary, placing bets that are solely based on line movement alone is a problematic sports betting strategy. If you’re on the same side as the bettors that influence where a line moves it will certainly be beneficial in the long run, but paying for reverse line movement alerts won’t get you there.

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We investigate whether betting based on reverse line movement in an effort to follow the actions of sharps, or professional bettors, is profitable over the time period. We find that, in general, following reverse line movement is not a profitable strategy with regard to the totals markets in college football.

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Reverse Line Movement or RLM in its abbreviated form is a sports betting term that defines movement in the odds that counteracts the current betting percentages in the market. In other words, a majority of bets placed are one-sided, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. It is imperative to comprehend such betting percentages are not related to the total amount of money wagered on a particular game, but rather the number of tickets or bets taken on each side.

To give you a better grasp, consider the Philadelphia Eag.

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Reverse line movement occurs when a line moves in the opposite direction of the ticket count. To illustrate that, let’s say the Cavs open as 6-point favorites over the Celtics and were receiving 70 percent of the bets at the moment a line move to takes place. That would qualify as a reverse line move because while the ticket count would indicate the most likely adjustment would be UP to, the opposite takes place.

Thus what appears on the surface as a counterintuitive adjustment is in fact an indicator that the sportsbook is showing deference to a sharp position on the Celtics. The easiest way to monitor line movement and bet percentages is via Sports Insights’ live odds pages, which track the betting metrics of a handful of prominent offshore sportsbooks.

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Reverse Line Movement RLM occurs when the sportsbooks shift the lines in the opposite direction that the overall betting trend is following. When the majority of people are betting on one line, sportsbooks usually move the line up, as to compensate for the influx of money and to make the opposing line more appealing.

When the reverse of this happens, where the sportsbook actually make the majority wager more appealing is when it becomes a Reverse Line Movement. This happens thanks to the Sharp bettors. There are some bettors that watch the line right up until the sports game is about to begin. This may work, but it is very risky, since by the time they are ready to place the bet, the unpopular side may have lost all of its value.

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Professional gambler and sports betting expert JV Miller reveals how to win at sports betting. Expert sports handicappers and professional gamblers know to bet winning sports picks NFL picks, NBA picks, MLB Picks, NHL Picks and college football and. Oddshero and Matched Betting Explained in 1 minute. In this video I explain why spreads and odds change at a sportsbook and what reverse line movement is and why its an important thing to understand.

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Learn How To Use Reverse Line Movement In Sports Betting. Find Out Why Reverse Line Movement Helps To Create Profitable Strategies. For example, a losing customer that usually bets, on a match may not be enough to convince a sportsbook to change their odds, even though they have a potential high liability.

On the other hand, if a successful, winning sports bettor bets 10, on a game, a sportsbook may be more inclined to adjust the odds based on this information alone. Bottom line Sportsbooks are willing to risk being wrong to casual or losing bettors, but will almost always adjust their lines when winning players get involved.

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Reverse line movement is something that’s frequently referenced in sports betting. Let’s take a closer look at what it is and how it works. The simplest approach to gaining a better understanding of what reverse line movement is all about is to first understand how sportsbooks make money in the first place. The sportsbooks will set the lines for each game and then assign them a specified odds value at which they offer those lines to those betting on the games.

Those assigned odds are known as juice. For example, here is a look at what an NFL point spread might look like on any given Sunday. Pittsburgh Steelers + New England Patriots In this situation, the Patriots are a point favorite while the Steelers ar.

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Spotting a reverse line move can help you decide when to place a bet, and which side the smart money or wise guy money is on. What Leads to a Reverse Line Move? After a number is released by the sportsbooks, it will generally change because of one of four different reasons, two of which leads to the situation where you will see a reverse line move.

Here, the line will move based on how the sportsbooks believe people who are betting will react instead of waiting for them to react. When Winston’s first-half suspension was announced to, the Florida State line moved from to or 17 instantly because the sportsbooks thought people would take Clemson+ This can creates a situation that looks like a reverse line move, but is definitely not one.

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